With a shortened free agent market our experts take a look at several 2011 Fantasy Football draft day fallers. These are guys that have moved down our draft board or their average draft position has decreased due to things that have happened since the lock-out ended. Whether it is a trade, an injury, or just something that a coach has said these players have seen a decrease in value.
We loved Tebow as a sleeper this year but that was contingent on Orton leaving town. That has not happened and it is looking more and more like it will not happen this season. As long as Orton is in town Tebow is basically undraftable.
Baldwin was a rookie wideout we really liked due to his value. When drafted by the Chiefs he was penciled in as a starter and therefore we loved the fact you could grab him 6 rounds later than Green or Jones. Things have changed, the Chiefs went out and got Breaston really crushing Baldwin’s value.
When Roy Williams came into town everyone just assumed Knox was the deep speed guy and Williams would be the wideout going over the middle. Not so fast, Martz has said it is an open competition for the Bears wideout spots and at this point in time Knox is on the outside looking in. We still believe he will be the starter but why risk a middle round pick on him?
Here we go again, Mathews is already banged up and the Chargers have already said that Tolbert was the man on all passing downs. We still like Mathews but due to this we dont like him going in the second round which is where you will need to take him.
We are not sure why Evans is all of sudden going around pick 100, sure he has a new home but he is the third option at best for the Ravens. We feel taking Evans in the later rounds is not as good of an investment as taking a young guy with upside. Let him be a draft day faller for your team even if he is a riser for everyone else.
If you did your draft early and grabbed Stewart you are kicking yourself right now. With Williams coming back to Carolina, Stewart’s value has taken a huge hit. He went from the starter to a back-up and anyone that owned Stewart last year knows how much of a dagger it was to own him. He is falling down draft boards but not far enough.
Green-Ellis had a great year but last season but when the Patriots grabbed two running backs in the draft people started to worry about him and for good reason. The Patriots are known for switching up game plans week to week and Green-Ellis just has more chances to lose touches now. The two rookie backs have also been solid in camp just making it a nightmare for fantasy owners to project real values for all of them.
Everyone is very concerned about Jones-Drew’s knee since he came into training camp with it still hurting him. He has fallen out of the first round and is going towards the end of the second. With that said if he is sitting there around pick 20 in your league he is worth the risk.
Coach Shanahan acknowledged that Chris Cooley’s injured knee is in question for the start of the regular season. This doubt hurts Cooley’s fantasy value on draft day and we consider him at best a low-end No. 1 fantasy TE on draft day. If you are targeting Cooley this is definitely a situation worth monitoring. It also may be time to start thinking about backup Fred Davis as a TE2 pick late in drafts.