Start ’em Sit ’em is our weekly look at favorable and unfavorable match-ups and how they might affect lineup decisions for your fantasy football team. Other than a few elite players, no one should be classified as a must start every week, and analyzing match-ups can go a long way to giving your team a weekly edge. If you have any start’em sit’em questions feel free to post them in our Fantasy Football Forum.
Week 5 Byes
Ravens, Browns, Cowboys, Dolphins, Rams, Redskins
Blount was running all over people in Monday’s game against the Colts (damn you 35 yard TD run to ice the game, lost to Dustin cause of that – yeah I am bitter) but the 49ers line and linebackers are a solid unit. Blount will not be carrying three defensive players a few extra yards as San Fran is one of the best defenses at holding backs to yards after contact. It is doubtful you have better options as Rice, Hillis, Thomas, Jackson, and Torain/Hightower are all on byes but just hope the Bucs get close so Blount can punch it in.
Brees was the first person to call Sporles as soon as word came down that the Chargers were not going to pony up the cash to resign him. Well our guess is he told Darren he would use him and up to this point he has not lied one bit. Sproles is the most targeted running back in the league thus far and he is even above Larry Fitzgerald in overall targets as he is sitting at 35 to date. No matter who the Saints play it is clear that Sproles is the best back to start in their system due to this. In standard leagues he is a good flex play and in a points per reception format he is a high end RB2 this week.
The Falcons are playing at home and that normally means a better game for Matty Ice as his numbers are good deal better when playing in a dome. This of course will benefit Jones, this rookie is becoming a big part of the offense, as he was targeted 17 times last week catching 11 for over 120 yards. Jones is what we like to call a specimen with his size, speed, and amazing leaping ability. Woodson will be on Roddy meaning Jones should be the most targeted wideout again and he should produce yet again.
First and foremost the it is tough for me to say any Chief is a good pick-up and play considering other than Bowe they don’t even have a “play” on their team most weeks. With that said I understand that with six teams on a bye, all the injuries to wideouts, and the fact there are deeper leagues out there you might be looking for sleeper to grab for this week. Breaston is a good gamble as he plays a weaker secondary in the Colts and he does have talent. He got off to a slow start but in the last two games he is seven catches for over 170 yards.
Two weeks in a row I talk about how I don’t love Nate Washington. Last week he only caught two balls and this week he goes up against the number one team in terms of passing defense. The Steelers have not been so great against the run but the pass is a different story. They are only giving up 157.5 yards in the air and I expect them to focus on Washington. I will start to like Washington more if another receiver emerges to take pressure off him (or TE, calling Mr. Cook).
I know he had a terrible game on Sunday night but the Pats D is nowhere close to the Ravens Defense. In fact they cannot be much farther apart. New England is giving up over 475 yards a game, that is not a typo. Most of that is threw the air (389 of it) so you have to be a little more confident in Sanchez this week. I expect Rex Ryan to have the Jets pumped up for the game and the fact he came out and said he is going back to the ground and pound this week makes me believe he is trying to mislead the Pats since they way you beat them is through the air.
You might need a QB this week, see the match-up, and think that you will take a shot with the rookie since he is playing the Bengals. Not so fast – statistically speaking Cincy is the best defense in the league right now. I know they do not pass the eye test but numbers are numbers and Gabbert is a rookie so look elsewhere.
With Andre all but out at this point you might be thinking not to start Matt Schaub and picking up another quarterback this week. I say that is a huge mistake, sure Andre (and this saddens me but it is true) is the second best wideout in the game but Schaub has been hitting numerous different targets this season. The return of Arian gives him an added bonus as he can take a 2 yard pass to the house at anytime. Of course if you have one of the studs don’t bench them in favor of Schaub just don’t go picking up a sub-par quarterback so you can bench him this week.
Boss missed the first two games of the season with a knee injury and was plagued by that injury week three as well. Last week for the first time, Boss looked 100% healthy and if you know Jason Campbell you know he loves to throw the Tight End. The secondary of the Texans is much improved so the safest outlet for Campbell this week should be Kevin Boss. I expect both the Texans and the Raiders to try to control the ball with their stud backs but that typically leads to the linebackers cheating up – leaving the middle open for the Tight Ends aka Kevin Boss.
According to the numbers the number one ranked defense in yards allowed is none other than the Cincinnati Bengals. Now they have had some easy match-ups along the way and there are plenty of other defenses I would rather see you play but considering all the byes it might be slim pickings. So this is a numbers thing here and numbers don’t lie. Cincy has allowed an average of 275 yards a game and this week they do play a rookie in Blaine Gabbert so they are a defense that will be available that could produce for you. (by the way I hit last week as well on the pick-up and play defense, sitting 4 for 4 if you are playing along at home)
If you have any start’em sit’em questions feel free to post them in our Fantasy Football Forum.