Start ’em Sit ’em is our weekly look at favorable and unfavorable match-ups and how they might affect lineup decisions for your fantasy football team. Other than a few elite players, no one should be classified as a must start every week, and analyzing match-ups can go a long way to giving your team a weekly edge. If you have any start’em sit’em questions feel free to post them in our Fantasy Football Forum.
The Bills stuck to their word and gave Spiller the majority of the carries last week but unfortunately for Spiller is was against a tough Jets run defense. With that said he ran ok, making a few people miss, which has to happen for him to have any success as he has no chance of breaking any tackles. This week he might make a few more miss as he faces the Titans and their run defense that is ranked 23rd in yards per game. If you are in need of a back you could do worse than a guy that is basically a lock to get over 20 touches.
Dustin has been saying it all year – Helu will be the man in Washington when it counts. If you are fighting for a playoff spot, it certainly counts this week. Even with a match-up against the Jets I think he is a great start especially in point per reception leagues. In the two games where Helu has been the featured back he has caught 21 passes. Now I know you are thinking will Shanny do it again? For once I am pretty confident that Helu will not only start this week but finish with a ton of touches making him a solid RB2 this week.
Sam Bradford is banged up again which will only give the 49ers another safety to stack the box with against Jackson this week. This only adds to the tough match-up and the fact the 49ers have not allowed a rushing touchdown this year (yes that is still true and amazing) makes me a little nervous to start Steven Jackson.
The top pass defense statistically speaking in the NFL is the Cleveland Browns, they give up only 175 yards in the air per game. Now, part of this is the fact teams run all over them and therefore don’t need to pass but part is also Joe Haden. I have written about a wideout facing Haden in the past and he has never let me down as he just shuts down number one wideouts. Boldin is not match-up proof so this is a week I look elsewhere at my wide receiver spot.
Dustin did not talk about him on his waiver wire show so I am going to write about him. In my humble opinion Williams is the best wideout on the Tennessee roster. Two weeks ago he did not produce and therefore was dropped in a ton of leagues however, in that game he was targeted 11 times. This week past he saw a bunch of targets again and found the endzone. It seems as every time there is a passing play for the Titans in the red zone they are looking Williams’ way – so if you are in a touchdown heavy league Williams is worthy of WR3 consideration.
Mike Williams is averaging 6.5 catches, over 80 yards, and a touchdown in his last two games – now of course that is a small sample size but it is a step in the right direction. Almost as important is he has passed the eye test as of late and looks hungry, really attacking the ball. (not sure what took him so long). Now I don’t think Mike Williams is a must start but I am starting him over the likes of Santana Moss and Nate Washington this week.
When looking at the match-up for Tebow this week, one would think the fact the Vikings are ranked 29th vs. the pass would be a good thing but to me, that does not matter too much. Denver does not allow Tebow to throw the ball too much so I thought to look at the Vikings defense in terms of run defense. The Vikings are ranked 9th vs. the run and very fast on the edges so I think that can lead to troubles for Tebow. Call me a hater but I think the Tebow magic (in terms of fantasy) runs out this week. (side note – the defense is the reason they are winning these games…where is the love for the D? in Denver)
This past Monday Eli completed 22 straight passes and threw for over 400 yards in route to monster fantasy day. This week I would think a repeat performance is a very good possibility. Eli was in a shootout on Monday Night and should be again vs. Green Bay this week. Plus the Packers are pretty terrible against the pass since they take a ton of gambles. I could see the Giants trying to run the ball to win the time of possession but everyone tries that against Green Bay. It also always blows up in their faces since it takes Rodgers no time to score. That means, Eli will be throwing the ball to Nicks/Cruz trying to catch up and should post a huge day again.
The Jags fired their head coach this week and promoted their defense coordinator for the short term since the defense has been the only good thing about them. They are sitting 4th vs. the pass and this week they will face Rivers who leads the NFL in turnovers. So the numbers say you got to sit Rivers and I have heard a ton of other fantasy shows/sites say it is time to cut Rivers for the likes of Matt Moore and even Vince Young for this week. I understand the thoughts behind this but both corners for the Jags are hurt and probably not playing this Sunday. When one goes down a good defense coordinator (or now head coach) can cover that up but both? – that is really tough hide. I don’t think he is necessary a top ten play but I would start him over the likes of Tebow, Moore, or Young this week.
Just when you think you have the Pats figured out they change up everything on you (part of the reason they are so great). So after Gronk has had back to back to back great fantasy days I expect the Patriots to change it up and feature Hernandez this week. He might not be a big as Gronk but he has great hands can cause all kinds of match-up problems himself. Furthermore, I could see the Pats running up the score on Indy so there might be plenty of points to go around.
Denver Broncos Defense
I eluded to this earlier but I am loving the Denver Broncos defense as of late and I believe this is a big reason why Tim Tebow has had success and no one is really giving them any credit. Over the past four games they have averaged: allowing just 15 points, three sacks, and 1.5 turnovers per contest. Rookie Von Miller (your lock rookie D player of the year) is simply nasty and Champ looks like he is 28 again. This week I don’t see how AP will be back in the line-up for Minnesota so I think they will have a tough time moving the ball. Denver, who is available in a ton of leagues is a great pick-up, for this week and going forward as well as the schedule is favorable.
If you have any start’em sit’em questions feel free to post them in our Fantasy Football Forum.