In addition to our weekly Waiver Wire posts, we’ll also be providing valuable matchup analysis each week along with our suggestions on who to start and who to bench. If you have any additional matchup questions, or you are not sure who to start this week, feel free to post them in our Fantasy Football Forum.
Miami (4-5) at Carolina (4-5)
Miami
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Carolina
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
239.4
27th
Passing Defense
186.4
4th
Rushing Defense
97.4
7th
Rushing Defense
128.1
25th
Passing Offense
177.8
28th
Passing Offense
191.4
24th
Rushing Offense
156.2
4th
Rushing Offense
156.6
3rd
Fantasy Impact: The Dolphins are a run first, run second, pass third team this season and with Ronnie Brown out this Thursday night Ricky Williams has a ton of value. The Panthers do not do well against the run so expect a big day out of him. Ricky is the only Dolphin worth starting this week. For the Panthers it is the same story – run the ball; however, both DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart should get plenty of touches. The Fins are decent against the run so Williams is a must start but Stewart might find your bench with the bye weeks over. There was a Steve Smith sighting last week as he found the endzone twice and was Jake Delhomme’s first read every drop back (even if it was a controlled amount). I would not state he is back but it is a great sign as fantasy teams start to make the playoff push.
Indianapolis (9-0) at Baltimore (5-4)
Indianapolis
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Baltimore
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
214.0
16th
Passing Defense
208.9
13th
Rushing Defense
108.7
15th
Rushing Defense
93.9
5th
Passing Offense
321.6
1st
Passing Offense
244.8
15th
Rushing Offense
86.0
29th
Rushing Offense
117.4
14th
Fantasy Impact: The Colts are still undefeated and on a non-fantasy front I do not blame Bill Belichick for making his fourth down call. Now to fantasy a few years ago a Colts vs Ravens match-up would be an offense vs defense chess match however, things are different this year. The Ravens got a boost in the defensive rankings after playing an awful Browns team (they are banned from being written about see seven down) the Ravens have struggled against the pass so expect big things yet again out of the Colts big three. (Peyton Manning, Reggie Wayne, and Dallas Clark) The Ravens Joe Flacco has struggled mightily the last few weeks but he might get a break this wek facing a banged up secondary. Derrick Mason is the only Ravens receiver worth starting but only in deeper leagues since the Ravens will run the ball. Ray Rice is a must start in all leagues the rest of the way; however, he is an elite player in point per reception leagues. Oh almost forgot to mention the running back situation for the Colts – that is because they have forgotten about it as well but if you are in a deep league Joseph Addai is the only back worth starting at this point.
Seattle (3-6) at Minnesota (8-1)
Seattle
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Minnesota
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
233.0
22nd
Passing Defense
234.1
23rd
Rushing Defense
105.0
11th
Rushing Defense
94.6
6th
Passing Offense
260.0
13th
Passing Offense
261.2
12th
Rushing Offense
93.3
27th
Rushing Offense
122.4
10th
Fantasy Impact:TJ Houshmandzadeh finally had a huge day last week and if Seattle is going to have a chance to win he will have to have another big day since Minnesota has a soft secondary. Nate Burleson was targeted only five times and had zero catches last week. This adds up to one fact – Houshmandzadeh is the clear cut number one and Burleson might need to find his way to your bench. I expect Seattle to be down so Matt Hasselbeck is an ok play in two quarterback leagues. All backs have a long day against the Vikings run defense so one of the most added players this week in Justin Forsett is in for a long day. (Julius Jones is doubtful Sunday with a hip injury). Brett Farve is having one of his best seasons; yes one of his all-time best, and that is because he is not taking as many chances. He has also found a Number One in Sidney Rice who is a great flex option this week. Of course Adrian Peterson will get his and you can bank on one hundred yards and touchdown almost every week – this week being no exception.
New Orleans (9-0) at Tampa Bay (1-8)
New Orleans
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Tampa Bay
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
227.7
19th
Passing Defense
211.9
15th
Rushing Defense
115.3
20th
Rushing Defense
167.3
31st
Passing Offense
284.3
5th
Passing Offense
188.4
25th
Rushing Offense
151.1
5th
Rushing Offense
98.7
25th
Fantasy Impact: The Bucs cannot stop anyone on the ground and the Saints should be up early in this one which adds up nice days for both Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush. Of the two, Thomas is the must start with Bush (who had a nice game last week) being a good flex play. Of course Drew Brees is a must start but Marques Colston owners have been on a roller coaster ride this season. If Colston does not have a big first half he might not have the game his owners are expecting. The Saints defense has been slipping each week in the rankings but no Buc is worth starting. If you are in a bind then put Cadillac Williams into your line-up but do not expect his numbers from a week ago.
Atlanta (5-4) at New York Giants (5-4)
Atlanta
YARDS/GAME
RANK
New York Giants
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
240.7
28th
Passing Defense
168.0
2nd
Rushing Defense
130.3
26th
Rushing Defense
106.4
13th
Passing Offense
223.1
19th
Passing Offense
249.1
14th
Rushing Offense
126.1
9th
Rushing Offense
138.9
7th
Fantasy Impact:Michael Turner has a high ankle sprain and will miss at least two weeks, so in steps Jason Snealling – the most added player this week. His first NFL start will not be an easy one. The Giants are coming off a bye and are rested so do not expect big things for Snealling. The Falcons will try to set up the run with the pass so young gun Matt Ryan will target both Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez early. Ryan has been looking at both White and Gonzalez almost exclusively which is great things for fantasy owners. The Giants are looking to quiet the New York media and facing a weak Falcons defense is just what they needed. All Giants are good plays this week but I think Brandon Jacobs will have his best game finding the endzone at least two times (wanted to go three there but that is even too bold for me)
Washington (3-6) at Dallas (6-3)
Washington
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Dallas
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
162.7
1st
Passing Defense
227.4
18th
Rushing Defense
125.7
24th
Rushing Defense
103.1
10th
Passing Offense
221.3
20th
Passing Offense
274.0
8th
Rushing Offense
107.1
19th
Rushing Offense
130.0
8th
Fantasy Impact: Who is this juggernaut known as the Washington Redskins? The Skins put together an offense explosion for them last week scoring over twenty-five points and Ladell Betts had a huge day against a decent Broncos defense. This week it looks as if he will get the start again but the Cowboys are tough against the run. I still cannot say Santana Moss or Jason Campbell is a good start so they need to find your bench but if Betts has a good day there might be a running back controversy in the Nation’s capital. The Redskins are ranked first against the pass but I expect Tony Romo, Miles Austin, and Jason Witten to have servable fantasy days. The surprise last week was Roy Williams who had his best game as a Cowboy – but he still should not be in your starting line-up. This game will be won on the ground and Marion Barber has been promised more touches so start him in your flex or RB2 even confidently this week.
Pittsburgh (6-3) at Kansas City (2-7)
Pittsburgh
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Kansas City
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
208.1
12th
Passing Defense
234.2
24th
Rushing Defense
69.3
1st
Rushing Defense
141.3
27th
Passing Offense
275.0
7th
Passing Offense
186.4
26th
Rushing Offense
111.3
17th
Rushing Offense
100.0
24th
Fantasy Impact: The Steelers need a win so they must be happy to see this match and so should the fantasy owners of Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward, and Rashard Mendenhall. Start all Steelers this week as the Chiefs give up a ton of points to all fantasy players. Dwayne Bowe is to miss four games for breaking the substance abuse policy which is bad things for his owners and all Matt Cassel owners (Cassel should only be started in two quarterback leagues at this point). The story for the Chiefs is Jamal Charles who had a monster day last week but he is a flex play at best this week facing this tough Steelers defense.
Buffalo (3-6) at Jacksonville (5-4)
Buffalo
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Jacksonville
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
200.0
9th
Passing Defense
238.9
26th
Rushing Defense
173.0
32nd
Rushing Defense
118.7
22nd
Passing Offense
176.0
29th
Passing Offense
232.2
16th
Rushing Offense
107.7
18th
Rushing Offense
140.1
6th
Fantasy Impact: It looks as if Trent Edwards will not be getting the start this week but it really does not matter, Terrell Owens and Lee Evans are not worth starting even if they are facing this awful secondary and due to the time share I am not a huge fan of Marshawn Lynch or Fred Jackson as well. The best Bill to start is Lynch but with the byes over, I would hope that you have better options. Last week Chris Johnson had 100 yards rushing and 100 receiving vs this Bills defense (got that bold prediction correct) now to my bold prediction this week Maurice Jones-Drew will do the same. Expect huge things are out Jones-Drew. Mike Sims-Walker is a safe play as well and should be a considered a decent second option at wideout.
Cleveland (1-8) at Detroit (1-8)
Cleveland
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Detroit
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
228.3
20th
Passing Defense
271.7
32nd
Rushing Defense
165.8
30th
Rushing Defense
114.6
19th
Passing Offense
132.1
32nd
Passing Offense
214.4
21st
Rushing Offense
98.1
26th
Rushing Offense
103.1
21st
Fantasy Impact: The Browns spent 95% of the Monday night game running plays on their side of the football field so let me make this simple never start a Brown again, yes they are playing the Lions but try to stay away from them. For the Lions it is the same story Calvin Johnson and Kevin Smith. Johnson looked healthy last week so feel safe starting him this week and Smith is facing an awful defense so he can move into the starting line-up as well. By the way will anyone but the die-hard Lions and Browns fans be watching this game?
San Francisco (4-5) at Green Bay (5-4)
San Francisco
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Green Bay
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
248.3
29th
Passing Defense
189.2
6th
Rushing Defense
87.7
3rd
Rushing Defense
93.1
4th
Passing Offense
194.6
23rd
Passing Offense
273.2
9th
Rushing Offense
102.3
22nd
Rushing Offense
119.2
12th
Fantasy Impact: Last week the 49ers defense won the game for them; none the less, Frank Gore looks to be 100 percent healthy and is must start for the rest of the season. The Packers have a tough defense but when Gore plays he has produced. Defenses look to be keying in on Vernon Davis and his production has gone down a little but feel safe starting him. Since defenses are keying in on Davis, Michael Crabtree has faced single coverage and was targeted a ton of times. It is matter of time until he finds the endzone and this might be the week. For the Packers it is the Aaron Rodgers show and will be again this week. The 49ers are great against the run so Ryan Grant will have a tough time but both Greg Jennings and Donald Driver and good plays.
Arizona (6-3) at St. Louis (1-8)
Arizona
YARDS/GAME
RANK
St. Louis
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
253.4
30th
Passing Defense
236.2
25th
Rushing Defense
101.0
8th
Rushing Defense
142.3
28th
Passing Offense
284.4
4th
Passing Offense
196.8
22nd
Rushing Offense
84.2
31st
Rushing Offense
118.9
13th
Fantasy Impact: Everyone that is going to make the playoffs trade for Cardinals. This is the first of many easy match-up from here on out. Get Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald, and Anquan Boldin into your line-ups. Now, onto the only question mark of the fantasy gold Cardinals – do you play Chris Wells or Tim Hightower? I think Wells has more value going forward and this week is the same. Wells is a decent flex play. For the Rams everyone including defense knows the game plan – a lot of Steven Jackson but I do not think the Cardinals will stop him. Jackson has had a quite great season and is a must start. A sneaky play this week is Donnie Avery, he has stepped up when healthy and facing a bad passing defense he could prove to be a nice start – definitely a risk reward start.
Cincinnati (7-2) at Oakland (2-7)
Cincinnati
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Oakland
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
231.0
21st
Passing Defense
211.6
14th
Rushing Defense
83.4
2nd
Rushing Defense
155.6
29th
Passing Offense
223.3
18th
Passing Offense
136.3
31st
Rushing Offense
122.3
11th
Rushing Offense
103.4
20th
Fantasy Impact: The Bengals have looked great this year but one of their main reasons looks to be out this week Cedric Benson. Now it is a lock they will sign Larry Johnson but do not think he is a great bye week replacement. I do not think he will see the field too much if any this week. This means the Bengals will try and air it out but Chad Ocho Cinco is going to be match-upped with possibly the best corner in the game in so start Chad but do not expect great things. With the bye weeks done no Raider should be starting on your team but keep an eye on Darren McFadden this week, he might be a ok pick-up going into your playoffs.
San Diego (6-3) at Denver (6-3)
San Diego
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Denver
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
207.8
11th
Passing Defense
186.7
5th
Rushing Defense
118.9
23rd
Rushing Defense
105.6
12th
Passing Offense
275.1
6th
Passing Offense
227.1
17th
Rushing Offense
75.1
32nd
Rushing Offense
112.1
16th
Fantasy Impact: So my man Vincent Jackson had a bad game but he is still on pace for my prediction before the season started (yes I am writing it again – 1000 yards and 10 touches) This week I believe both Jackson and Phillip Rivers will have a good day. The Broncos are overrated (they lost to the Redskins for God’s sake) and their defense has shown some holes. With Jackson having a good day I think running lanes will be open for LaDainian Tomlinson who is having a quite bounce-back year after a few good games. For the Broncos start only Brandon Marshall (even with Orton out) and Knowshon Moreno. I am not expecting big things out of either. Sorry Denver fans I just believe this will be a route for the Chargers.
New York Jets (4-5) at New England (6-3)
New York Jets
YARDS/GAME
RANK
New England
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
170.0
3rd
Passing Defense
194.6
7th
Rushing Defense
111.6
18th
Rushing Defense
110.0
17th
Passing Offense
183.9
27th
Passing Offense
310.1
2nd
Rushing Offense
170.1
1st
Rushing Offense
114.1
15th
Fantasy Impact: The Jets have the number ranked rushing offense in the league right now but if they fall behind to an angry Pats team they might have to air it out. With that being said, start Thomas Jones he is getting almost thirty touches a game. (guess he was not the bust I thought he would be) The only other Jet to start is Braylon Edwards who is still a hit or miss play each week. Let’s put it this way for the Patriots – they are going to have a huge bounce back game. It does not matter that the Jets are third against the pass Tom Brady, Wes Welker, and Randy Moss are all first options this week.
Philadelphia (5-4) at Chicago (4-5)
Philadelphia
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Chicago
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
205.6
10th
Passing Defense
195.3
8th
Rushing Defense
101.9
9th
Rushing Defense
118.4
21st
Passing Offense
270.2
10th
Passing Offense
261.8
11th
Rushing Offense
102.1
23rd
Rushing Offense
85.2
30th
Fantasy Impact: Philadelphia needs a win but their stud running back Brain Westbrook will sit out this week so it will be Donavan McNabb’s game to win or lose. He is going to his hometown of Chicago this week and I think he will have a nice (not huge but good) day in front of his friends and family. This means good things for DeShawn Jackson and Brent Celek (who has a nose for the endzone) As written last week Jay Cutler has been up and down so in theory this should be a good week for him but do not bank on it. The Bears will make sure Matt Forte gets a ton of touches so he is a good play this week but bench Cutler if you have better options.
Tennessee (3-6) at Houston (5-4)
Tennessee
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Houston
YARDS/GAME
RANK
Passing Defense
270.4
31st
Passing Defense
223.6
17th
Rushing Defense
109.3
16th
Rushing Defense
108.7
14th
Passing Offense
175.3
30th
Passing Offense
294.8
3rd
Rushing Offense
161.8
2nd
Rushing Offense
90.8
28th
Fantasy Impact:Vince Young has gotten wins but not great fantasy numbers – there is only one human to start on the Titans and that is Chris Johnson. Johnson is having a monster year and might end up as your number one overall fantasy player. Start Johnson and no one else on the Titans this week. For the Texans Matt Schaub and company are coming off the bye and his favorite target Andre Johnson needed it. Johnson has been playing banged up but is looking great after some well needed rest. I fully expect both Schaub and Johnson to have enormous days (bold prediction for Johnson a buck-fifty and two touchdowns). Do not start any Texan running back but keep a close eye on the situation. I believe Steve Slaton will get his job back this week but I do not feel comfortable starting him in any formats just yet.
It’s Fantasy Football Championship Week and our experts are here to help owners set up their teams and answer several start ‘em sit ‘em questions from our forums.
Aaron Rogers is an excellent Fantasy option this week against Seattle’s passing defense. See what other players you should start or sit as we review all of the NFL games for Week 16.
With six or more catches in three of the past four weeks and a pair of touchdowns in that span, Josh Morgan could be a sneaky start in Week 16 against the Lions’ league-worst secondary.
With six or more catches in three of the past four weeks and a pair of touchdowns in that span, Josh Morgan could be a sneaky start in Week 16 against the Lions’ league-worst secondary.