I lost my man Keenan Allen in SO MANY LEAGUES last week. Do you really need two guesses as to how many of those I won? Fantasy Football can be a cruel mistress my friends, so if you got pummeled last week, there’s nothing to be done but get back on that horse and ride again. Same goes for DFS – I totally whiffed on Dak Prescott, Fleener, and Green Bay defense…but nailed Ware, Carr, and Moncrief. Seattle didn’t pount Miami for some unknown reason, and while Christine Michael outplayed Thomas Rawls, zero Canton busts were minted in his likeness. How bad are the Rams? Kind of a weird week overall, but now at least we have some first impressions to go off of. So, let’s make some money – here are my Week 2 DraftKings value picks.
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Despite losing to the Shaun-Hill led Vikings due to his two pick-sixes, Mariota played pretty damn well. He scored 18.7 DraftKings fantasy points, completed over 60% of his passes, and even threw in a few rushes for good measure. But most encouraging was his 11 targets of emerging studmuffin Tajae Sharp, the effective ground game, and the fact that Tennessee looked kinda like, well, an offense. Mariota is no Luck, but he has the weapons to light up the Lions useless defense all the same. I think he’s over 20 points here, with upside for a rushing score on top.
Yeah, I’m doubling down. Why? Well, if you actually watched this game, Prescott looked a lot better than his fantasy line showed. He had a great touchdown throw to Dez overturned and another solid gain wiped out on penalty. He also barely used his legs in what was his first NFL start, while showing strong cohesion with Cole Beasley and Jason Witten. Meanwhile, my Redskins did Redskin things: They couldn’t stop the run, couldn’t cover, and couldn’t tackle. Prescott won’t be the last Cowboy you see on this list, I promise. If you don’t mind some risk at QB, he’s still an insane value at under $6K for a QB that could explode.
You want value? This could be some serious value. Neither Atlanta RB got much going on the ground last Sunday, but Coleman split snaps almost right down the middle with Freeman, and worked quite a bit as the passing-down back. Gaining 95 yards on five receptions doesn’t hurt his case for more work going forward, and I think this game is another shootout. Tevin garnered 13 touches last week, and I think he’s in line for 15+ this week. Man, imagine if Freeman went down and you started Coleman….BOOM.
This game is at Houston, and Houston is definitely better defensively than San Diego…and I’ll let you know when I care. Ware dominated for owners Week 1 on the ground and through the air, and until Jamaal Charles is back I think he’s a fully legit RB1. It makes me shiver to know I got him last week at $4,400, but I’ll take him again at $6,100 all day long. Anyone else think the Chiefs have already found their heir apparently to Charles?
Steal alert. Sharpe had 11 targets Week 1, catching seven of them for 76 yards. That right there is worth the price of admission, but you have to consider the overall putridity of the Detroit secondary, the fact that the game should be moderately high-scoring, and maybe most of all…you’re getting the Titans WR1 for $4,100. They’re going to get him the ball.
It kills me to say this, but with my man Keenan Allen done for the year, there is a ton of opportunity for upside in the high-volume Chargers passing attack. Benjamin looks like he’ll get first crack at the job and should amass 10+ targets against a very shaky defense. I like him to go over 15 fantasy points this week and emerge as an every-week WR3.
After getting into a crazy shootout with the Saints in Week 1, the Raiders get to go right back to the well and draw pistols against Atlanta. Crabtree paid off handsomely last week for those bold enough to use him, to the tune of seven catches, 87 yards, and a two-point conversion for good measure. Much like the Saints, the Falcons don’t have anyone to cover Amari Cooper, so they certainly can’t also cover Crabtree. I think he draws a ton of one-on-one coverage, goes over six receptions again, and finds the end zone this week.
Witten was targeted 14 times in Week 1. FOURTEEN. He caught nine of them for only 66 yards, but in a full PPR format…who cares. Witten clearly has overwhelming chemistry with Prescott but more than that, he’s also an extremely dependable receiver who has a knack for getting open when his QB gets into trouble. Washington has never defended Witten well, and based on what I saw on Monday night, that trend should continue. Another nine catches might be asking a bit much, but I think Witten’s floor is six receptions and 50 yards, with upside for much more if this games turns into an offensive showdown.
There’s no way a guy with upside this high could go 0-for-two-games…right? I’ll double down on Fleener too, except this week he’s $1,000 cheaper. Furthermore, he was so bad last week, nobody is going to start him Week 2. I say, go against the grain. Saints on the road against a suspect defense that struggles against opposing TEs – to me this seems like a recipe for success. New Orleans just paid Fleener a truckload of money to be their next Jimmy Graham. I think this is the week we start to see it.
New England Patriots
The Patriots looked pretty good in getting their first win, on the road, against a potent Arizona offense. Which is to say, they limited the damage that offense could do, which is pretty much what New England tries to do against strong offenses. Miami isn’t a strong offense, and in Week 1 they looked downright useless, albeit against an excellent Seattle defense. I think New England controls this game and mediocre Miami offense, and goes past 10 total fantasy points at home.