The holidays are officially upon us, but unfortunately unlike every online retailer in the U.S, DraftKings is not giving us up to 70% off our favorite players all week. So we’ll have to find those super-values ourselves. Fortunately, by this point we’re pretty darn good at that. Foreshadowing hint: I’m a huge fan of this 49ers vs. Bears matchup. Let’s investigate, shall we?
These are my Week 13 DraftKings Value Picks:
I’m making the assumption that Jay Cutler is out another game here. So, assuming that’s true, it’s awfully interesting to consider Barkley – he’s literally the same price ($5,000) as Nate Sudfeld, the Redskins third-string QB. You want to show you have all the cojones? Consider the QB-punt maneuver – Barkley would barely be required to score to turn a profit, and the matchup against the 49ers at home could not be any better. He’s got a RB that can catch passes, and a couple of decent WR options – I think he could easily total 20 DraftKings point here, and give you quite the holiday DFS gift.
CKap continues to roll. You can give him credit for making the most of a terrible opportunity, or you can blame his super-weak schedule, but whatever you do, give him consideration for your DFS lineup this week. Chicago is one of the worst teams in the entire NFL, are starting Matt Barkley at QB, and have very little to play for. I love Kaepernick to pad his stats here in this battle of two defenseless (literally and figuratively) NFL teams.
I hate this guy. I can’t believe I’m recommending him. I now hate myself a little too. But after an extremely lackluster 13 carries for 14 yards in his first game back, Hyde has been EATING. He’s averaged about 75 yards rushing per game, and tacked on an additional four receptions for about 25 yards. Roll it all up, and it adds to 17+ DraftKings fantasy points per game. I think the rushing threat of Kaepernick has opened things up for Hyde, and his finally being healthy isn’t hurting. I think he scores his first post-injury touchdown this week, and accumulates nearly 100 total yards.
Booker has had the workload – he’s averaged 24 carries over the past two contests. He’s got the No. 1 job. And finally, he’s about to combine those two with the opportunity in a plumb matchup with the Jaguars. Trevor Siemian’s three touchdowns last week mean something here – they’re a welcome boost of confidence for a QB who has looked like an average Joe at times, and they’ll server as the threat that will unlock Booker against Jacksonville. Next week I think Booker’s price goes up and we’ll see how interested I am then – but at $5,100 this week, I’m all-aboard the Booker express.
When a dynamic player scored three touchdowns and then the next week is matched up against a high-scoring offense on the road, and is STILL priced below $5,000…I’m interested. I don’t care if Maclin makes his return or not – he’s stunk the whole year, and Hill has showed he’s the WR that KC should manufacture touches for. I have to think that Alex Smith throws 30+ passes here trying to catch up, and I think Hill can grab at least six of them. Kick the tires and light the fires.
Really DraftKings? Really? This almost feels like a trap bet. Gabriel has averaged over 20 DraftKings points per game over his last two, and he’s still not managed to work himself above a $4,000 price tag. Why do you want me to play Gabriel so badly? And yet…how can I not? Gabriel is quite the money No. 3 option in Atlanta, with game-breaking talent.
Here’s another guy averaging over 20 points per game lately that looks like an absolute steal. I’ll say this – It’s come with Rob Gronkowski either inactive or out with an injury, that much is true. But what’s also true is that Mitchell has caught three touchdowns over his past two games, and earned his spot among the top Patriots wideouts. Perhaps you recall that one good season that Brandon LaFell had? It only occurred because he happened to be a New England wideout at the time. Adding to the upside here is the fact that Julian Edelman missed practice on Wednesday as well, and Gronk is still no lock to play on Sunday (and they won’t need him…lets be honest). I think Chris Hogan finds himself on the bench more and more in favor of Mitchell in two-WR sets, and I think Mitchell has the potential to explode once again this Sunday.
I don’t ever mind paying the price for a pretty stable floor, and monster upside – That’s how I see Kelce this week. He’s coming off a great game and has been super-involved since Jeremy Maclin
sucked the whole year went down with an injury. With Tyreek Hill now opening up the field, this leaves a whole ton of room for Kelce to operate. I think his absolute floor here is
10+ DraftKings points, with the possibility of a explosion in what should be a high-scoring affair.
Green didn’t disappoint me last week on my value pick call, grabbing two receptions for 67 yards. What you might not have known is that on top of that, he also dropped a total cherry of a touchdown pass and dropped another pass as well. I’m going to chalk that up to rust, and call his name again this week. The Steelers are at home here against a Giants defense that as been good but certainly not elite against opposing TE. They’ll obviously roll huge coverage over to Antonio Brown and commit extra defenders to stop Le’Veon Bell – a now-healthy Green should rack up the stats.
San Diego Chargers
I’m a huge believer in the Chargers D this week. They’ve been good more often than not, and the type of games where you’d clearly want to sit them (against the Saints, Raiders, and Falcons) have been the games they’ve struggled. TB is riding high after a huge win against Seattle, but I think they come out flat after traveling to the left coast. If nothing else, San Diego is a solid D/ST choice – they’re averaging over 8 DraftKings points per week on the season despite playing a ton of high-octane teams – with a lot of upside.