Did Rex Ryan win the Super Bowl this past Thursday night? He certainly acted like it when the final whistle blew as he defeated his former employer, the New York Jets. In the biggest “look at me everyone, I’m somebody!” moment of Week 10, Ryan passed on subtlety and class; making sure the world new how important this game was to him. To someone indifferent as to the outcome of the game, it brought one word to mind; desperate. We haven’t seen a winner this obnoxious since Anne Hathaway took home an Oscar. And why is this guy who lives in Buffalo so tan in the middle of November? It must be due to his determination to be under the white hot spotlight, consistently stealing it from his players.
But maybe we’re being too critical of Rex. After all, the majority of us fantasy managers want nothing more than individual success and can often be just as obnoxious. When winning a close match against a friend or co-worker you’ve probably found yourself talking smack and rubbing it in their face as aggressively as Rex likes to rub feet. There’s a little Rex in all of us fantasy gamers, we want the glory for ourselves and no one else.
Let’s see what players offer the most value and will direct us on the path to fantasy glory in Week 11. Hopefully you’ll be jumping around your house like a crazed chimpanzee come Monday night, just like our man Rex.
Get out of my dreams, get into my Carr. Lyrics from 80’s musician Billy Ocean have never been more relevant than in Week 11, as Derek Carr travels to Detroit for a dream matchup with the Lions. Detroit’s defense has allowed two touchdowns to each of their past three opposing quarterbacks while forcing zero interceptions. Carr had thrown for four touchdowns in both Week 8 and 9 before settling for two last week against the Vikings. Only three quarterbacks have failed to gain 300 total yards against the Lions, and no quarterback has finished with under 20 fantasy points against them in 2015. The Detroit auto industry might have received a bailout, but this Carr is going to put the Lion’s defense out of business.
Sticking with the same game, the Raiders pass defense has not been much better than the Lions. Only Peyton Manning and Teddy Bridgewater have failed to throw for multiple touchdowns against them this year. Like Dr. Phil giving out advice, Stafford is unreliable and shouldn’t be trusted. However, unlike Dr. Phil, he averages 37 pass attempts per game and has elite weapons at his disposal giving him a soaring ceiling in an ideal home matchup. The Lions running attack has been nonexistent and there’s no reason to believe that will change this week. Expect this one to be a high scoring shoot out with Stafford and Carr duking it out through the air.
Gore will be without Luck this weekend, but the 32 year old veteran should be able to make his own luck against a weak Falcons run defense. In Matt Hasselbeck’s two other starts this year, Gore was not affected by the downgrade, finishing with a combined 151 yards and a touchdown on 39 carries. The Falcons allow the fourth most fantasy points to running backs in PPR formats and Gore has carried the ball over 20 times each of his past two games. Atlanta also allows the most catches to running backs so look for Gore to have success in the passing game like he did in Week 4 when he caught five Hasselbeck passes. Make it a Goregious Sunday!
The undrafted PPR wizard has been one of the more magical fantasy football characters this year, his production has been so fantastical he seems like a character out of “The Wizard of Oz.” The stature of a munchkin, swiftness of a flying monkey, and a mustache that rivals the Emerald City doorman’s. Check out his picture on the DraftKings site…magical. With Keenan Allen out for the year and Malcom Floyd looking doubtful to return for any more games, Woodhead is gobbling up the leftovers. The Head finished with six catches on 10 targets for 78 yards and a touchdown in Week 9. Coming off of a bye week, he faces a Chiefs defense that is tough against the run but vulnerable against the pass. Kansas City’s pass rush has come on strong of late, accumulating eight sacks in their past two games. Expect dump off galore for Woodhead as Philip Rivers is under attack. With Chargers running back Brandon Oliver out for the season, Melvin Gordon’s ineffectiveness, and a banged up receiving core; Woodhead may not be an every down back but he’s a work horse of a different color.
Charcnado blew through Denver without warning in Week 10. Well, you were warned, he was in this article last week. In fact, last week he had a more expensive price of $4,800 against a tough Denver defense. Are we missing something? Well, we’re not missing Jamaal Charles. West is producing just as much fantasy goodness at a much more affordable price than Charles had to offer. In Week 11, Charcandrick faces a Chargers defense that just got torched by Bears rookie running back Jeremy Langford for 40 fantasy points. San Diego gives up the most fantasy points to running backs in PPR formats and West has carried the ball over 20 times in each of his past three games, scoring at least one touchdown in each as well. There is a perfect storm brewing in San Diego this Sunday and Charcnado will leave nothing but devastation in his path to fantasy stardom.
In each game Cooper failed to score a touchdown he has hit pay dirt the following week. Although this type of stat can be as pointless as taking a prostitute out to dinner, it is a trend and we pay attention to those. The Vikings did a good job caging up Cooper last week, holding him to five catches for 75 yards and zero touchdowns. Expect Cooper to fly the coop in Week 11, the Lions haven’t contained No. 1 wide outs all year and allow the seventh most fantasy points to wide receivers in PPR formats.
Is Mr. Amendola going to be Tom Brady’s new main man? It’s hard to know for sure with the unpredictable Patriots. What we do know is that Danny was targeted a team high, 11 times, which he turned into ten catches for 79 yards last week. With Edelman injured, Amendola should get more looks than a young blonde in a sun dress on the first warm day of spring. The Bills allow the seventh most points in PPR leagues and considering they have only allowed one running back to go over 100 yards, the Patriots should be throwing a ton. The injury to Dion Lewis should also prove to benefit Amendola. In their first game against the Bills in Week 2, Lewis was targeted 9 times while Edelman was targeted 19. Those targets have to go somewhere. Although he won’t be an Edelman replica and produce the type of numbers he did, Amendola is a bargain with a terrific matchup and high ceiling.
Using two wide receivers on the same team is usually as ill-advised as setting your lineup while driving, but it’s far less risky when we’re talking about the Patriots offense. In his four games this season, Lafell has been targeted a healthy 30 times. He would have had his first touchdown last week but Giants cornerback Trumaine McBride resorted to holding Lafell’s arms back as he was about to receive a pass in the end zone, resulting in pass interference. Tom Brady threw a season high 38 times in his first meeting with Buffalo so expect for Lafell to see plenty of action. Drafting Lafell and Amendola into your lineup is a sneaky contrarian play that could pay off.
Travis has been unreliable in 2015 due to Alex Smith’s inaccuracy and being a member of a run heavy offense. However, he is the most targeted player on his team and travels to San Diego to face a Chargers team that has allowed four touchdowns to tight ends in their last three games. Kelce has at least five catches in his four games so he has a high floor with a soaring ceiling in this juicy matchup. This is the cheapest his price has been on DraftKings this year.
In Matt Hasselbeck’s first start in Week 4 against the Jaguars, Fleener finished with nine catches for 83 yards and a touchdown on 12 targets. In Hasselbeck’s other start this season in Week 5 against Houston, Fleener finished with two catches for nine yards on three targets. Although, to be fair the Texans have been tough against tight ends; just ask Tyler Eifert how his game went this past Monday night. Fleener faces off against a Falcons defense that allows the fourth most fantasy points to tight ends in PPR formats. With a weak armed Hasselbeck at the helm, expect the cheaply priced Fleener to receive a healthy number of check downs with a decent chance to find the end zone. A tight end has scored a touchdown in all but three games against the Falcons in 2015.
Kirk Cousins had the game of his life last week, he played so well he got a man fired. That’s got to be good for the ego. In Week 11 Cousins is traveling to Carolina where his ego trip will reach its final destination. After dropping 47 points against the NFL’s worst defense, New Orleans, the Redskins face one of the league’s best in the Panthers. Carolina is tied for first with 14 interceptions and has allowed only one running back to go over 100 yards, Doug Martin back in Week 4. The Redskins should struggle moving the ball while Carolina controls the clock and tempo with their dominant running attack.
Bengals quarterback Andy Dalton is having a career year, but he is beginning to look like the miss firing Red Rifle of old. The Cardinals play a little nastier at home, and the Bengals offense has just looked nasty after coming out of their Week 7 bye. After getting sacked just 6 times in his first six games, Dalton began doing his best Steven Segal impression; under siege and getting sacked eight times in his last three games. This Bengals offense is on the fritz, jump on the Cardinals defense and watch them capitalize.