Our Week 16 sleepers features under-the-radar players that are currently being started in less than 50% of fantasy football leagues. These players could produce good fantasy numbers this week due to a favorable matchup, injury, or other circumstances. For your final lineup decisions, check out our Week 16 player rankings and if you have any fantasy football questions, feel free to post them in our Fantasy Football Forum.
I’d hope if you’re this far in the playoffs you’re not relying on the Sanchize to man your QB position, but if you’re in a jam he’s worth consideration. He’s definitely been atrocious the past two weeks, showing some of the natural regression that we would expect, but what defense to get right against than the dumpster-fire Redskins? Washington gives up the most points of any team in the league to opposing QBs, and they showed little inclination to defend Odell Beckham, Jr. this past weekend. I think this is a bounce-back week for Sanchez and the Eagles after dropping two straight.
Want a weird stat about Dalton? Cleveland really has his number. In two games against the Browns this year, he’s totaled under seven fantasy points. TOTALED. Amazing. Cleveland is currently the seventh best defense against the pass, and a big part of that is Dalton. Anyway. We’ve seen good Andy, and we’ve seen bad Andy. I think the good one comes to play this week at home in what should be a pass-happy game against Denver. The Bengals will want to run it early, but Denver excels against the run and gives up a ton of passing yards / points. There’s about zero chance the Cincy defense will be able to stop Peyton and Co, so eventually they’ll air it out. I feel a solid 16-20 fantasy points coming from Dalton this week.
Mason exploded for 30+ points a couple of weeks ago, and has simply killed owners chasing those points since then. Well, if you’ve done that and are still somehow alive, congrats. I think this is the week to keep going on the Tre train, as he finally has a good matchup after two brutal rushing matchups against Washington and Arizona. The Giants give up the 10th most fantasy points to opposing RBs, and there’s little chance the Rams will gain traction to throwing the ball. Their best weapon is clearly Mason and I expect a heavy dose of touches and fantasy points here.
This is a Hail-Mary, deep-league special. Despite the general crummyness of the Washington football team, I liked what I saw from Thompson on Sunday. He totaled 35 yards on six touches and caught a TD, but mostly I felt like he gave the offense some juice they had been lacking. With the Redskins season in the tank and NFL draft talk mounting in Washington, there’s no reason for Gruden and Co. not to let some of the young guys play to see what they have for 2015. Silas Redd looked decent here too, but I still think that Alfred Morris dominates the carries so his role will be marginalized as usual.
Buffalo defense at home, in the cold: Very tough. Buffalo defense on the Left Coast: Not as formidable. The Raiders only game Murray 12 carries against KC despite him averaging almost 5 YPC, and I think they look to remedy that idiot total this week. It doesn’t hurt that Murray is virtually their only weapon and they need to find out if he can be their RB of the future. I think he gets 15+ touches here and a score.
Wilson only caught three passes for 16 yards and a TD in Week 15, but he was on the field a ton and was one of few ‘bright’ spots for the dismal Chicago offense on Monday night. That said, being a part of the bumbling Bears offense, he did commit a few stupid penalties and run some wrong routes, but another week of practice should sort out those issues. I think Cutler’s trust in Wilson continues to grow, and even against a strong Lions pass defense he’s worth considering – the Bears should be down early and often again, and I’m expecting another 30+ pass attempts from Cutler.
Apparently one of the very, very few things I was right about in Week 15 was the impending Douglas explosion. Explode he did, for 130+ yards…just needed that TD to complete the domination. Didn’t quite get there, and it cost me a championship berth! So frustrating. I guess you can’t win ‘em all. Anyway, even if Julio and Roddy are good to go this week, I think the Falcons will mix in a bunch of targets for Douglas in a must-win terrible NFC South contest.
If you’re throwing TE darts in your championship game and the cupboard is bare, I think Miller is worth a look. He got the third-most targets on the Steelers on Sunday, has scored six points or more in three straight outings, and gets a home matchup against KC (middling against the TE) this Sunday. This is a must-win game for the Steelers and I think they will put all their weapons on the table to keep pace in the playoff race.
My apologies to anyone that got on the Colin Kaepernick train with me the last couple of weeks. I’ve never felt he was a good QB, but I really did think that he would play well against the Raiders and Redskins, because everyone else does. Instead he regressed right before our eyes for an entire month, and it has probably cost SF a playoff spot and a head coach. Nobody knows what’s going on in SF any longer, and its high time to stream defenses against this dysfunction. Just to pile on, SF allows the eighth-most points to opposing D/STs and have only scored over 17 points once since Week 7. Charger gentlemen, start your engines!
Well, I never though I’d write it either. So hear me out. Jacksonville has actually played surprisingly good defense lately, especially against the pass. Despite all my love and promises, Bishop Sankey has not emerged as a top 15 RB (losing me a bet) and I don’t think he gets much done here either. Finally, the Titans mess-fest is down to their third string QB, and all roads lead to more Charlie Whitehurst. This home tilt looks like a good spot if you need to shoot for the moon with your D/ST choice this week.